Development of AI System for Smart Waste Collection and Management
Traditional waste collection works on schedule, independent of actual container fullness. Result: 40% of trips—visit half-empty containers, 20%—overflowing. Smart Waste optimizes routes by actual fullness.
Container Fullness Monitoring
IoT fill level sensors:
Ultrasonic (HC-SR04) or infrared sensors in container lid:
- Measure distance to waste surface
- Transmit via NB-IoT / LoRaWAN (energy-efficient protocols for battery power)
- Measurement interval: every 30–60 minutes
Computer vision from surveillance cameras:
Where sensors unavailable—estimate fullness from cameras:
- CNN (MobileNetV3) on container image → fullness level (0–20%, 20–50%, 50–80%, >80%)
- Training set: annotated photos of containers at different levels
- Classification accuracy: 88–93%
Fullness Forecasting
Fill level time series:
Each container—individual fill model:
- Patterns: residential buildings—morning and evening peaks, offices—evening peak
- Seasonality: holidays increase waste volume 20–35%
- Weather influence: rain—less activity, summer—more drink packaging
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from prophet import Prophet
class WasteContainerPredictor:
"""Waste container fullness forecast"""
def fit(self, fill_level_history, container_id):
"""
fill_level_history: TimeSeries of fullness level (0-100%)
Forecast when container reaches 80% fullness
"""
df = fill_level_history.reset_index()
df.columns = ['ds', 'y']
# Model sawtooth curve: grows until collection, then resets
# For forecast: take only current incomplete fill cycle
last_emptying = df[df['y'] < 10]['ds'].max()
current_cycle = df[df['ds'] >= last_emptying].copy()
model = Prophet(
growth='linear',
daily_seasonality=True,
weekly_seasonality=True,
changepoint_prior_scale=0.3
)
model.fit(current_cycle)
# Forecast until 80% fullness reached
future = model.make_future_dataframe(periods=48, freq='H')
forecast = model.predict(future)
full_time = forecast[forecast['yhat'] >= 80]['ds'].min()
return full_time
def predict_collection_priority(self, all_containers, current_time):
"""Rank containers by collection urgency"""
priorities = []
for cid, container in all_containers.items():
current_fill = container['current_fill_pct']
predicted_full_time = self.fit(container['history'], cid)
hours_until_full = (predicted_full_time - current_time).total_seconds() / 3600
priority_score = current_fill + (1 / max(hours_until_full, 0.5)) * 10
priorities.append((cid, priority_score, current_fill, predicted_full_time))
return sorted(priorities, key=lambda x: -x[1])
Waste Collection Route Optimization
Dynamic Routing:
Each day (or multiple times per day) optimal routes built:
- Container list for collection: level >75% or expected fullness within 24h
- VRP optimization: multiple waste trucks + depot + containers
- Account: truck capacity, driver work time, convenient routes
Economic effect:
- Reduce trips: 30–45% (collect only full)
- Reduce mileage: 20–30% (optimal routes)
- Reduce overflowing: >80% (preventive collection)
Waste Sorting
AI-sorter for secondary materials:
At waste sorting facilities—computer vision for classification:
- Conveyor belt + cameras + RGB + NIR spectroscopy
- Classification: PET, PEHD, glass, cardboard, metal, organics, other
- Pneumatic ejectors → direct to correct bin
- Sorting accuracy 90–95% vs. 70–75% manual
Hazardous waste detection:
Batteries, mercury thermometers, aerosols—should not reach sorting facilities:
- Spectroscopy (LIBS/XRF) + classifier → stop conveyor + operator alert
- Statistics: reduce equipment damage from batteries by 80%
Analytics and Reporting
GIS monitoring:
Dispatcher web portal: container map with color-coded fullness:
- Green (<50%), yellow (50–75%), red (>75%)
- Waste truck tracking in real-time
- Route history and KPIs
Environmental reporting:
- Waste volumes by category (regulatory forms)
- Recycling rate: % of collected waste directed to processing
- Forecast: additional landfill or sorting facility capacity needed
Development timeline: 3–5 months for Smart Waste system with IoT monitoring, fullness forecast and route optimization.







